Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Week Three vs. My Power Rankings

So last week I did a Power Rankings for all 32 teams in the NFL, because if I'm responsible about anything it's my fucking football blog. And not college or whatever. What I DIDN'T do (besides go to work or class on time ever) is make predictions for Week 2. So what I'm going to do instead is compare the results of each game to where each team stood in my Power Rankings, since presumably higher-ranked teams should beat lower-ranked ones, so I made my predictions by default. That's what I'm going with. So basically, teams with higher rankings (lower numbers) should be expected to beat teams with lower rankings (higher... yeah, you get it), and the bigger the disparity, the bigger the predicted score differential. If the ranking disparity is bigger than 10, expect at least a two-score win (9+ PD). Give a few points for home-field advantage. Roll with it. Okay.

Buccaneers (28) @ Falcons (17): Falcons, 56-14. Nailed it.

Chargers (9) @ Bills (13): Chargers, 22-10. N-n-n-nailed it.

Cowboys (20) @ Rams (27): Cowboys, 34-31. Three for three.

Redskins (6) @ Eagles (12): Eagles, 37-34. Chalk this up to HFA. They're pretty close in the rankings. But okay... I missed this one. Fucking divisional games.

Texans (5) @ Giants (31): Giants, 30-17. WHAT THE FUCK???

Vikings (26) @ Saints (18): Saints, 20-9. That's better.

Titans (21) @ Bengals (3): Bengals, 33-7. It's good to be good.

Ravens (16) @ Browns (24): Ravens, 23-21. Nailed it.

Packers (11) @ Lions (15): Lions, 19-7. Yeah, sure, NOW you get your big win against a solid NFC opponent. Hey, Detroit:

Colts (25) @ Jaguars (32): Colts, 44-17. Yeah...

Raiders (30) @ Patriots (8): Patriots, 16-9. Didn't quite hit the two-score differential, but still.

49ers (7) @ Cardinals (14): Cardinals, 23-14. I might be underrating Arizona.

Broncos (2) @ Seahawks (1): Seahawks, 26-20. YEAH BABYYYY!!!!!

Chiefs (29) @ Dolphins (19): Chiefs, 34-15. ...Fuckers.

Steelers (23) @ Panthers (4): Steelers, 37-19. Fucking randomness. Fucking parity. Fuck.

Bears (10) @ Jets (22): Bears, 27-19. I DON'T KNOW ABOUT YOU, but I was right.

FINAL TALLY: 10-6. Running Total: 18-13 (58.1%). Last week was pretty bad, but we're improving. And I didn't even have to make predictions this week! A few alterations to my Power Rankings (coming out later this week!) and I should do even better next week. Although I might make actual predictions this time.

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